Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.017289 0.019273 0.021268 0.023417 0.025661 0.027930 0.030393
2025-03-23 0.013336 0.016487 0.019792 0.023486 0.027469 0.031611 0.036219
2025-03-30 0.010531 0.014307 0.018420 0.023153 0.028381 0.033923 0.040190
2025-04-06 0.008303 0.012429 0.017089 0.022597 0.028806 0.035494 0.043156
2025-04-13 0.006222 0.010453 0.015435 0.021488 0.028453 0.036069 0.044899
2025-04-20 0.005315 0.009778 0.015200 0.021917 0.029751 0.038401 0.048505
2025-04-27 0.004180 0.008672 0.014346 0.021539 0.030057 0.039563 0.050758
2025-05-04 0.003154 0.007570 0.013404 0.020979 0.030089 0.040364 0.052557
2025-05-11 0.002588 0.007039 0.013133 0.021190 0.030989 0.042122 0.055403
2025-05-18 0.001978 0.006342 0.012588 0.021021 0.031405 0.043296 0.057562
2025-05-25 0.001359 0.005503 0.011785 0.020480 0.031337 0.043881 0.059023
2025-06-01 0.000942 0.004909 0.011270 0.020268 0.031639 0.044872 0.060927
2025-06-08 0.000486 0.004104 0.010456 0.019728 0.031639 0.045637 0.062733
2025-06-15 0.000238 0.003621 0.010097 0.019801 0.032426 0.047375 0.065724
2025-06-22 0.000052 0.003024 0.009488 0.019494 0.032712 0.048498 0.067984
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002413 0.008766 0.018980 0.032701 0.049240 0.069776
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001704 0.007734 0.017959 0.031994 0.049108 0.070514
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001540 0.007694 0.018353 0.033106 0.051171 0.073826
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001175 0.007173 0.018005 0.033226 0.052009 0.075675
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000820 0.006570 0.017490 0.033099 0.052524 0.077124
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000679 0.006436 0.017684 0.033907 0.054183 0.079927
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000487 0.006095 0.017529 0.034231 0.055232 0.081993
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000275 0.005564 0.017032 0.034071 0.055664 0.083306